I think it’s still early.
However it hinges on losses. The offensive side has to expose themselves and can take high casualties. For example I’ve read Ukr has already lost about 50 tanks, a few hundred APVs, 5K-10K troops lost, and maybe 10 aircraft.
Likely if true the offensive is going to fizzle out like we’ve been seeing, more or less. If that’s exaggerated Russ propaganda then stay tuned because a big breakthrough could still happen.
“For example I’ve read Ukr has already lost about 50 tanks, a few hundred APVs, 5K-10K troops lost, and maybe 10 aircraft.”
Like what was said in the early going on the Kherson offensive which was a Russian lie.
UKraine had relatively little casualties as Russia bugged out rather than stand and fight.
Just like Kherson, Ukraine is conducting only small probing attacks at this time.