Posted on 05/23/2023 7:32:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Without unrestricted immigration, nations like the United States cannot survive unless women have about 2.1 children each (the .1 reflects women who do not have children). The bad news is that the U.S. is falling short in reproducing itself. Occasional exceptions such as the Baby Boom aside, U.S. fertility rates have dropped over the last two centuries and show no sign of rising to the 2.1 replacement level. We are currently at 1.6.
The baby shortfall has huge consequences beyond potentially filling the nation with immigrants. An aging population brings higher healthcare costs, budgets devoured by pensions, shrinking tax bases, labor shortages, empty schools and universities, and a stagnant economy.
Moreover, Africa aside, depopulation is worldwide and, apparently unfixable. Countries as diverse as Japan and Russia have tried the “obvious” solutions such as free childcare and subsidies, but to no avail. Scandinavian countries offer lavish child-friendly policies but likewise fail to move the needle. Between 2006 and 2021, South Korea spent $200 billion for maternity leave, paid childcare, and similar pro-natal measures, but the fertility rate dropped from 1.1 to .81.
This should be a major political issue regardless of one’s ideology. The Left surely needs a healthy economy to finance its welfare state while businesses depend on factory and service workers. Nobody wants a shrinking workforce whose principal responsibility is to fund a growing geriatric population.
Our fertility problems acknowledged, what is being done to encourage more children? Where are educators in this crisis who might help shape a pro-child culture? Schools and the media are certainly relevant. Recall the popular Dick and Jane elementary school reading books of the 1950s featuring an idyllic family or family-friendly TV-sitcoms from that era.
Amazingly, much of our education establishment is pushing youngsters away from family life
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
This has been studied and documented for decades now, but the political blather obscures,
Jean-Claude Chesnais wrote of this in "Population and Development Review," Vol. 27, Supplement: Global Fertility Transition (2001), in an article titled "A March toward Population Recession."
The current crop of European and North American Leftists think this "population recession" can be turned aside by mass immigration, or else their cousin Leftists are busy making themselves wealthy in the short term by "importing labor," which the BS model of politics calls "moderate" conservatism like the Koch family and many RINOs, in collusion with the Left.
In fact, the problem is not political at all, because in the long run it is utterly demographic, with even "immigrants" in Europe and the US not reaching a "replacement rate" number of children per family. The coming "recession" -- depression will be the economic term -- caused by Chesnais' "population recession" can only be stopped by replacement rate breeding.
Standing in the way: Malthus-thinking intellectuals, abortion in the millions, endemic birth control, sterilization through "gender affirming" stupidity as well as sterilizing effects of STDs, and of course death by war and murderous "civil" mayhem.
The answer is simple. And it will be regional. Replacement rate is the only answer to what is unarguably "population recession" is to stop "recessing."
My sister and I discussed this last week after our 38-year-old cousin lost a baby at nine months.
The priority of young women for a couple decades is to jump right into a career, claw their way up corporate ladders, and wait to have their kids. IIRC, the older a woman is when she has babies, the more risk is involved.
When we were young women in their early twenties, the babies started early on, they were generally healthy, and moms raised them in to school age or beyond. Then moms went to work, if they wanted to.
One more of the unintended consequences of feminism.
Do we care about fertility rates when there are so many more Americans and more children survive into adulthood? How many is enough?
It’s pattern not a guarantee of future patterns. Natural selection will sort it out in a few generations. Those with genetic or social drives to reproduce will do ao and and those who don’t will become less common. As the % of those with these traits increase as part of the population they will bond with each other (isn’t that a nice way of saying it I thought) more frequently and the birth rates will rise again.
We just need to hold the course steady and protect or border and limit legal immigration.
If we do what Brandon and his ilk want which is to allow our native population to drop while we import illegal immigrate guess what we have folks?
REPLACEMENT THEORY
Sleepy Joe can lie or read others lies on his monitor all day as that is what will happen with current trends if they don’t change.
White women don’t want to replace themselves. Minority women want to replace themselves and are.
Whites will be a minority as a result. And they will be plundered via taxation to pay “reparations” and the like.
America is done.
This is not strictly a Jewish or Israeli phenomenon. A survey conducted by Pew Research in 2018 compared Catholics who attended traditional Latin Masses vs. those who attended New Order Masses. This survey covered Catholics in 16 states, in both heavily Catholic states like Connecticut and very Protestant states like West Virginia. The fertility rate for the Latin Mass attendees was 3.6 children per family on average vs. 2.3 for the New Order Mass attendees. Assuming the children of Latin Mass attendees remain traditional Catholics, it means that in the long run, they will be an increasing percentage of the Catholic population.
The bottom line is that demographics is destiny.
With the Trans/LBGTQQQGNQVOIQN Satanism/insanity, and >20% of young kids being brainwashed into accepting it, that is yet more reason why America is headed this way.
The 37% of women voters that are (or lean toward) Republicans are to a significant degree likely grandmothers, widows, or beyond child-bearing age. Those few in the 18-40 age bracket have their work cut out for them if we are to avoid national suicide.
Their birth rate dropped as well.
Japan is getting along just fine without “diversifying” through mass immigration, despite their low birth rates. Don’t buy the globalist neoCON BS about “having” to make up for low birth rates with mass foreign 3rd world immigration. It’s all a scam. All that matters to them is cheap 3rd world labor wages so they can have serfs/slaves.
Not sure I accept this premise. Why can't the USA survive with a dropping population?
It is not happening in Muslim countries.
It is not happening in Africa.
Less clear, but I don't think it is happening in many South American countries.
BS. I refuse to read another wold. If we stop all immigration then US citizens will have a higher standard of living and make more kids. More immigration = less native born.
This screed is an open border GOPe dream.
One could argue that birth rates are exactly where they'd be financially. Who can afford to have children of their own while being forced to pay for others' children?
Couldn’t find the date range in this article. When did the drop in fertility rates seem to begin?
That’s part of it. But on the other hand, the government sure does know how to grow the population amount other segments of our society.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.