Thomas Nast for Harper's Weekly. "That's What's the Matter." October 7, 1871. Via Wikimedia Commons
Posted on 05/15/2023 7:39:44 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
You can take this with a grain of salt, but according to Niall Ferguson, a historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, there is a strong possibility that former Donald Trump will emerge the victor in the 2024 presidential election.
In an op-ed for The Spectator, Ferguson argued that “A second Trump act is not just possible. It’s fast becoming my base case.”
Ferguson quickly dismisses the idea that Trump’s legal issues will hurt him because criminal cases against leading political figures often do not hinder their political success. In fact, he observed that they’re already backfiring because of the perception that Democrats are abusing the legal system for political purposes.
As for the primaries, Ferguson notes that Republican candidates that have an early lead in the polls, as Trump does, typically end up the nominee. “Early frontrunners have won Republican primaries in six out of eight competitive races since 1972, when the modern system of primaries was introduced,” he notes. “The two exceptions were John McCain in 2008 and Trump himself in 2016.”
If Donald Trump maintains his current average polling numbers throughout the first half of 2023 but fails to become the Republican Party’s choice for the presidential nomination, he would become the highest-polling candidate ever to be unsuccessful in securing the nomination. So the odds are clearly in his favor.
As for the general election. Democrats assume that Trump can’t beat Biden — and that’s probably the only reason they’re tolerating nominating a vegetable for president — particularly in light of the results of the 2022 midterms. Of course, while Joe Biden likes to take credit for that, the abortion issue was a much more significant factor than Joe Biden.
But the big problem for Joe Biden is his popularity. His approval ratings have been underwater
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
Trump won the last 2 elections. Though the last was stolen and the republicans cans stuck their heads up their collective bums.
Why won’t these charges matter? Becaude anyone with half a brain knows that these “charges” are 99.999% political and 0.001% legal. I guess that automatically excludes leftists.
President Trump received an acknowledged 74 million votes and given the stuff that went down in the 2020 election, it's almost certain that he actually received more than 74 million with some votes changed or deleted due to the fraud in the “adjudication” process for mail in ballots across the nation.
In some areas the number of adjudicated votes exceeded the number of normally counted votes.
Has Trump suddenly become an anti-humanist, globalist? Is he now in favor of endless war, unlimited immigration and the cyber-surveillance state? Does he now want to preside over the death of western European Christian culture?
Because that is the only way that the people who pick the President would ever pick him.
Exactly. Corruption and treason rules the day. Pray for America, pray for true repentance, pray for an awakening.
I like Fergusson but with respect he is a foreigner misreading what is happening in the USA. That dinosaur he calls Biden got 82 million votes, easily outperforming Obama. I think it happened by crook myself, and wonder at Nial how he thinks the US will compensate for massive cheating once again.
Thomas Nast for Harper's Weekly. "That's What's the Matter." October 7, 1871. Via Wikimedia Commons
If so, there may be an assassination in 2025.
Seriously. The Deep State cannot abide Trump, and they have absolutely no moral qualms about murdering anyone who is in their way to power.
Remember,boys and girls...you heard it here first.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.