I never said Trump wouldn’t win. What I said was we need another Reagan.
Now, Trump is part Reagan and part Patton.
The suburban soccer moms don’t appreciate the Patton part. They’re in error, but it is what it is. If Trump can emphasize his Reagan side more, he could be the next Reagan. And he could win.
That's why they won't vote for Trump in 2024. But they "might" vote for DeSantis. Note that they didn't vote for Hillary in 2016.