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Iran Update, April 26, 2024

Iran is attempting to expand Iran's economic influence in Africa by increasing its economic ties with non-Western partners. Iran likely aims to use these economic ties to circumvent sanctions. Iran held its second annual Iran-Africa Trade Summit in Tehran, Iran, on April 26. Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mine, and Trade organized the event.[18] Iranian media reported that officials from over 30 African Union member states attended the summit.[19] It is unclear how many African Union member state officials attended the inaugural event in 2023. Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi gave a speech at the summit stressing the need to strengthen trade between Iran and African nations.[20]

The Raisi administration has long sought to expand Iran's economic influence in Africa as part of its “neighborhood policy.”[21] Raisi focused his July 2023 trips to Kenya, Uganda, and Zimbabwe—then marking the first Iranian presidential visit to Africa in 11 years—on improving economic ties with these countries.[22] Increased Iranian economic cooperation with African states will not enable the regime to fix the structural flaws in its economy, however. Greater bilateral trade with foreign countries would enable Iran to increase its capital inflows but will not solve the problems that cause Iran's economic instability. Fundamental economic reforms—such as reducing the dominance of parastatal organizations in Iran's economy and combatting corruption and nepotism—would be necessary to meaningfully improve Iran's economy.[23]

Raisi held separate and private meetings about improving economic ties with Zimbabwean Vice President Constantino Chiwenga and Burkinabe Prime Minister Apollinaire J. Kyélem de Tambèla on the sidelines of the trade summit.[24] The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and regime-affiliated outlets have previously encouraged increased economic engagement with Africa to obtain gold payments that Iran can use to evade sanctions.[25] Burkina Faso and Zimbabwe are among the top ten gold producers on the continent, making Raisi’s meetings with officials from these countries particularly noteworthy.[26] Israeli media reported that Zimbabwe signed a uranium deal with Iran in 2013, which Zimbabwe has since denied.[27]

Iran may seek to export arms to some African Union member states like Burkina Faso as part of its effort to improve ties with African states. Iranian officials have repeatedly expressed interest in using arms sales to generate revenue for the economy, particularly following Iran's success in supplying Russia drones to use in Ukraine.[28] The Burkinabe, Malian, and Nigerien juntas could be amenable to such sales to combat the growing Salafi-jihadi threat in their countries. Weapons sales from Tehran could address their needs while aligning with their anti-Western and aggressively militarized counterinsurgency outlooks.[29] Iran has sent Ababil-3 multi-role and Mohajer-6 multi-role drones to Ethiopia, Sudan, and Western Sahara since 2021, setting a potential precedent for future shipments to the Sahel.[30] Turkey currently supplies drones to Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger. However, Burkina Faso has purchased Turkish drones as recently as April 8.[31]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-26-2024

836 posted on 04/27/2024 12:28:30 AM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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Yemen:
In early April, a surprise Houthi attack killed 11 southern [separatist] fighters in Lahj. The Houthi attempted advance was foiled after five hours of fighting. The Houthi attack occurred despite a lull in fighting that has continued in Yemen since April 2022.

Southern separatist fighters handed over their positions to pro-government forces on Saturday in Lahj province to the south of Yemen, a move displaying a preparation for a fresh potential battle with the Ansar Allah (Houthi) group.

https://shebaintelligence.uk/pro-government-forces-deployed-in-yemens-lahj

Interesting


837 posted on 04/28/2024 8:33:04 AM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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Iran Update, April 27, 2024
nothing special
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-27-2024

Iran Update, April 28, 2024

ditto

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-28-2024


838 posted on 04/29/2024 3:10:49 AM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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