RAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 27
Protesters are increasingly establishing routines for when they protest and how they prepare.
Iran may attack US, Israeli, or Saudi interests and targets in retaliation for the Shiraz attack.
Senior Iranian leaders argued that the protests enabled the Shiraz attack, indicating that the regime may intensify its crackdown.
IRGC-affiliated media suggested that the individual who attacked the Shiraz shrine was Afghan, building on the narrative that the attacker was an Islamic State member.
Protest activity will likely increase in Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province on October 28, marking four weeks since the regime’s brutal crackdown there on September 30.
The Sistan and Baluchistan Provincial Security Council fired the Law Enforcement Command’s Zahedan commander and 16 of his subordinates.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 23 cities in 12 provinces.
At least 100 mourners and protesters gathered in Veysian, Lorestan Province to commemorate the 40th day since the regime killed Nika Shakarami.
Thirty-six security forces members have been killed in the ongoing protests as of October 27.
The Islamic Propaganda Coordination Council called for countrywide, pro-regime protests on October 28 to condemn the US and Israel for their alleged roles in stoking the protests.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-27
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, OCTOBER 28
Demonstrations in Zahedan may become increasingly common on Fridays as residents seek to commemorate protesters killed by regime security personnel.
Anti-regime protests occurred in at least 23 cities in 11 provinces on October 28.
Mahabad protesters are employing increasingly organized and militant tactics to resist regime attempts to suppress demonstrations, including creating durable barricades.
Iranian intelligence organizations published a joint statement blaming ongoing unrest on the US and its allies.
Unverified reports claimed that Iranian officials and their families are attempting to flee the country.
Iranian proxy media amplified pro-regime demonstrations in a likely attempt to deflect attention from ongoing unrest.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-october-28