Iran Crisis Update, February 27, 2023
Protest activity in Iran is rising and returning to levels not seen since the end of 2022.
Different regime power centers are arguing with one another over how to address economic issues and trying to deflect blame away from themselves.
The Raisi administration may replace some of its economic managers with figures closely tied to the IRGC financial network to address the economic crisis.
The Raisi administration may be trying to revitalize the nuclear negotiations with the West.
Iran is likely continuing to reinforce its military presence in Syria.
At least one protest occurred on February 25, eight protests on February 26, and 13 protests on February 27.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-february-27-2023
Iran Crisis Update, February 28, 2023
Regime incompetence and mismanagement is driving further protest activity and popular frustration toward the regime and may unite citizens with disparate grievances.
Iran has intensified efforts to expand its influence over the Iraqi state security services in recent days.
At least 20 protests occurred in 15 cities across 14 provinces on February 28.
The Wall Street Journal reported on February 28 that the International Atomic Energy Organization (IAEA) confirmed the discovery of traces of 84-percent enriched uranium—near weapons-grade—at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in a confidential report circulated among member states.
The IRGC Aerospace Force and Artesh Air Defense Force conducted an annual “Velayat Sky Defenders” joint air defense exercises on February 28.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-february-28-2023