IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, NOVEMBER 14
Protest activity and strikes will likely increase from November 15 to 17.
Social media accounts are increasingly framing the ongoing protests as the culmination of past protest waves in Iran, which could increase protest turnout.
Former reformist President Mohammad Khatami called for reform in an Instagram post.
The IRGC resumed attacks on anti-regime Kurdish militants in Iraqi Kurdistan in retaliation for their perceived role in stoking protests.
At least 10 protests took place in nine cities across nine provinces.
Hardline parliamentarian Morteza Mahmoudvand criticized the 227 parliamentarians who signed a letter calling for the harsh and rapid prosecution of arrested protesters.
The New York Times published an article detailing human rights violations that the regime is committing against arrested children.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-november-14
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, NOVEMBER 15
Protest activity increased significantly on November 15 to commemorate the three-year anniversary of the regime’s brutal crackdown on the Bloody Aban protest wave.
The regime’s abuse and mistreatment of children is likely one of the factors driving these enduring protests.
The IRGC will likely resume its campaign to expel US military forces from the region in the coming months.
At least 54 protests took place in 36 cities across 24 provinces.
Three security personnel may have died in the protests.
President Ebrahim Raisi sent First Vice President Mohammad Mokhber to Qom likely to unite influential clerics behind the regime and especially the Raisi administration.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-november-15
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, NOVEMBER 16
Protest activity continued to surge, occurring in 29 cities in 19 provinces.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s efforts to discourage prominent Sunni cleric Moulana Abdol Hamid from publicly criticizing the regime have likely failed.
A false claim is circulating online that the Iranian Parliament has sentenced 15,000 arrested protesters to death.
BBC published a purported leaked audio tape revealing internal disagreements within the regime over the cause of and correct response to the protests.
Unidentified gunmen shot and killed at least six people and injured at least 15 at a shopping center in Izeh, Khuzestan Province.
Unidentified gunmen shot at Basij and Law Enforcement Command (LEC) personnel, killing two, in Esfahan City, Esfahan Province.
The judiciary sentenced three protesters to death.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) or one of its proxies likely conducted a kamikaze drone attack on an Israeli-owned tanker in the Gulf of Oman.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-november-16
