The next closest nato nation is poland. Not counting konigsberg, the closest russian soldier is aprox 500 miles away near kharkov or kherson, so without belarus your whole scenario falls apart. Russian troops definitely aren’t “having firefights” or hitting anybody with conventional artillery or any of those other things from 500 miles away.
Also, not directed to you specifically, but in general I greatly disagree that everybody has to give Putin anything he wants because if we don’t he might nuke us. Vehemently vehemently disagree.
You're correct; however, Poland borders the Ukraine. If I could rewrite, I'd modify my scenario to have NATO move forces directly into the Ukraine earlier.
Also, not directed to you specifically, but in general I greatly disagree that everybody has to give Putin anything he wants because if we don’t he might nuke us. Vehemently vehemently disagree.
Oh, I agree 100%. However, I am pointing out how slippery the slope can be into global war.