Thanks. At your link, I found a video of a guy at the Earthquake Prediction Center taken on Easter morning, April 17, saying that there is a 98% probability of a M6+ earthquake in the San Diego - Salton Sea area. That prediction flopped.
Do these people have any credibility with their “forecasts”?
“Do these people have any credibility with their “forecasts”?”
They picked up a lot of sensor data after the Fukushima earthquake and that’s giving them quite a bit of information that they have incorporated into some of their predictions, the big harvest from those sensors data is that the Juan de Fuca plate which is off the coast of Washington state is due for a another subduction zone snapback and the amount of data they got from Fukushima is almost identical to what that event would produce because of the nature of and the origination of that event.
I don’t think geologically it will ever be that accurate because there’s just too many variables in the crust to account for.
By the way in and around Japan there was a major effort to populate the area with seismic sensor arrays and that proved to be a much better accounting. I’m not sure the timeline but I think the sensors were in place just a year or two before Fukushima. So that was very fortunate in geological studies post earthquake.
There was other data collected as well but I’m speaking from the geological perspective, and I’m just an part timer rockhound.