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American Economic Growth Could Be Massive: The Spending Momentum Index (“SMI”) shows a much stronger spending momentum from the year prior
Daily Trade Alert ^ | 03/29/2022 | Sean Michael Cummings

Posted on 03/29/2022 7:25:25 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: Flick Lives

Yep, that would be us and we are elderly.


21 posted on 03/29/2022 8:08:37 PM PDT by winterystorm
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To: entropy12

“Buy a wheel barrow soon. You will need it to go to grocery stores to carry enough cash.”

People don’t believe that this is possible-but an older kindly neighbor gave me a sheet of uncancelled Weimar Republic 200 million Deutchmark stamps when I was a kid to give me a start on my stamp collection. I figured that I could by a significant chunk of West Germany with that…


22 posted on 03/29/2022 8:10:06 PM PDT by The Antiyuppie (When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

When everything costs twice as much.


23 posted on 03/29/2022 8:23:01 PM PDT by midwest_hiker
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To: entropy12

An American mother gathers what’s left of the family’s life savings, piles the cash in a wheel barrow and starts off to the store to buy a week’s groceries. Half way there a robber confronts her. The thug knocks her down, dumps the cash and runs off with the wheel barrow.

My soon to be favorite non joke about inflation.


24 posted on 03/29/2022 8:29:16 PM PDT by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: entropy12
Agreed. Shiller currently 25% higher than the 20-year average of 25.9. While Fed is raising rates and ending QE (or as Powell called it "not-QE").

Just like the Fed did from May 1987 to Sep 1987 (before the October flash crash). Just like they did from June 1999 to May 2000 (dot-com bubble burst, S&P 500 dropped 49% to fall of 2002). Then they raised rates steadily from June 2003 to Sep 2007 (S&P 500 topped in Oct 2007 before it dropped 56% to March 2009). It was almost like they were trying to bring down the rapid Bush rebound from the dot-com burst.

Fed raising rates (and in this case also tapering bond purchases) combined with high Shiller PE means stay out of equities.

25 posted on 03/29/2022 8:29:46 PM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: SeekAndFind

People are buying prep.


26 posted on 03/29/2022 8:30:44 PM PDT by Irenic
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To: SeekAndFind
I’ve only ever owned one pair of “slippers”. They were E German Winter boot liners during the sell off when the Berlin Wall fell (Sportsman’s Guide).

Then my ex put them in the Church parking lot sale,

27 posted on 03/29/2022 8:42:30 PM PDT by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's for sure.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This is valid economic analysis….16 months ago.

Everything is tempered now by the skyrocketing inflation. And those older folks that you say are ready to open their wallets? They are, but they vividly remember 1970’s-80’s inflation.

They will temper their spending.


28 posted on 03/29/2022 8:45:54 PM PDT by jdsteel ("A Republic, Madam, if you can keep it." Sorry Ben, looks like we blew it.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It must be all that talk about regime change in Russia which would end human civilization or maybe Biden’s threat to use chemical weapons that’s making the economy stronger. We need to document everyone who voted for BiDeN and take away their voting rights . No way ignorant communists should be allowed to vote in this country. Anyone who was guilty of fraud should have their voting rights removed and then promptly executed for treason.


29 posted on 03/29/2022 8:46:36 PM PDT by BillyCuccio (MAGA)
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To: SeekAndFind

So we will be somewhere between massive global depression and/or mass starvation and record-setting growth in a booming economy.

Yes, I will invest accordingly.


30 posted on 03/29/2022 8:50:38 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (“Sorry, I’m not a biologist.”)
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To: SeekAndFind
Older Americans have been the most cautious since the start of the pandemic.

Really?! This "older American" hasn't changed his spending patterns at all since his part of Alaska went back to normal ops in May 2020.

31 posted on 03/29/2022 8:54:42 PM PDT by AlaskaErik (In time of peace, prepare for war.)
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To: SeekAndFind

So slippers are a major market indicator. Good to know.

Getting killed by gas prices, but we have slippers.


32 posted on 03/29/2022 9:14:24 PM PDT by lurk (u)
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To: SeekAndFind
I couldn't SMI at Fred charts. I did find Consumer spending. SMI is credit card and debit card spending. So I suspect that if it shows an increase in trend and Consumer spending does not, then that is not good news. That's people maxing out their credit before stopping spending altogether. IMO

I couldn't find a chart of the SMI

33 posted on 03/29/2022 9:14:56 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: The Antiyuppie

Lot more self control than the government.


34 posted on 03/29/2022 9:34:14 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The SMI measures the share of Visa cards that has increased or decreased spending compared to the same period a year earlier.

So when prices go up, SMI goes up. So it's useless when we have high inflation. Sure, whatever.

35 posted on 03/29/2022 9:46:59 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (Often wrong, but never in doubt!)
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To: Irenic

Yep! Guns and ammo are my only discretionary spending for the last year.


36 posted on 03/29/2022 10:08:43 PM PDT by ScottinSacto
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To: SeekAndFind

Well Golly. I better get spending. I want that new Jeep 4 door pickup. AND the 4 door tundra. And I want that beach house in San Diego. And I better spend money on that nice mountain retreat in Telluride. And I have always wanted a luxury yacht like. Spending is good for Biden’s ratings .


37 posted on 03/29/2022 10:24:19 PM PDT by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes)
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To: SeekAndFind

The author must be a Common Core Math student


38 posted on 03/29/2022 11:26:12 PM PDT by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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To: entropy12

No wheelbarrow needed. Just a socially acceptable QR code. By posting here, you can’t buy the $40 head of lettuce anyway.


39 posted on 03/29/2022 11:26:49 PM PDT by ReaganGeneration2
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To: SeekAndFind

Yep....spending more for less. People
gotta eat, pay for gasoline, and need
abodes. Every single thing we buy has
got up in price. Making it look like
our economy is booming. But we’re barely
gettin’ by. Three more years of this
nightmare may finish us as a once great nation.


40 posted on 03/29/2022 11:47:24 PM PDT by Lean-Right (Eat More Moose)
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