The greatest long term strategic threat to Russia has never been Europe, Ukraine or the United States. It has always been China. China with its teeming population, limited resources and propensity for famine has always looked at the underpopulated, rich Russian far eastern, Pacific lands and the unexploited treasure house of Siberia and have coveted them. Serious Russian military and security people realize that if the circumstances were right, an existential war with China, despite nuclear shields, is far more likely than war with the West. These military and security people, as well as the Chinese, now realize that Russia is far less capable of defending these territories than previously thought.