status quo ante bellum —>
Why would Putin agree to this? His losses to this point are all sunk costs and he is on track belatedly to get exactly what he really wanted from the outset. From what I see, he will win the war.
The peace thereafter will be costly; but I do not see any evidence that he: 1) underestimated these costs going in or 2) will suffer as many costs as the talking heads are predicting. On the contrary, Biden has already committed the world to > $125/barrel oil. That alone makes for a very lucrative Russian peace, even if Putin has to sell his output in its entirety to China at a 20% discount to the world price.
If I were Putin, I wouldn’t agree to it.
Nor would I agree to Status Quo Ante Budapest Agreement.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum_on_Security_Assurances
Because Russia abrogated it, Ukraine honored it, and now the USA is looking to say it was “unenforceable, unratified, unbinding. Basically we’re looking to sign the bill of sale after having already sold them down the river.
But if I were Ukraine, I’d be starting my own nuke program with all them nuke experts we got lyin’ around from our 15 nuke power plants and Chernobyl cleanup team and experience giving away nukes.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4044173/posts
And if I were Ukraine & had nukes, Status Quo Ante Budapest, they woulda been quite the deterrent to invasion. Naturally, they don’t have nukes or they’d have said so by now. So it behooves them to ratchet up a nuke program pronto, and to USE them on Russians in Russia. Make the Russians walk home, escorted by UN personnel to guarantee they leave every last piece of equipment behind unmolested.