The biggest side effect from Putin’s debacle is that China is probably rethinking their plans to invade Taiwan this year. (One-line Vanity)

2/28/2022 | By Laz A. Mataz

[Sirius Lee]

I’m still waiting for the liberal media to start calling it “Xianggang”

Xyiv! LOL

[combat_boots]

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/exclusive-biden-sends-former-top-defense-officials-taiwan-show-support-2022-02-28/

[cgbg]

“Can’t install Puppets for long.”

Biden has lasted this long....

[tsomer]

"The longer the wait the harder for the CCP to assimilate the population."

You've got a sobering thought there, especially considering there are other incentives:
Xi Jinping
Brandon
The probability that over time the West's position will harden.

So you may be right; hope may be clouding my judgment.

I suppose the deciding factor is China's (or Xi's) capacity to sustain an invasion, especially while it's focused on the Belt and Road Initiative. Also, my impression is that domestically, it's not in great shape.

Foreign adventure is a time-tested way to redirect the strains of a dissatisfied and increasingly restive population, but it would not be well received on the international stage. That would not be good for B&R and trade.

I really don't know.