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To: Jan_Sobieski

Imagine on Big Island there are 100000 old folks and 100000 young folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .5% for unvaccinated old folks and .1% for vaccinated old folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .01% for unvaccinated young folks folks and .005% for vaccinated young folks.

Imagine 90% of the old folks get vaccinated and 20% of the young folks get vaccinated.

unvaccinated old dead 10000x.5%=50
unvaccinated young dead 80000x.01%=8

vaccinated old dead 90000x.1%=90
vaccinated young dead 20000x.005%=1

The death toll would be 91 vaccinated, 58 unvaccinated.


25 posted on 07/29/2021 9:48:06 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Brian Griffin

Imagine on Big Island there are 100000 old folks and 100000 young folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .5% for unvaccinated old folks and .1% for vaccinated old folks.

Let’s say the risk of Covid death is .01% for unvaccinated young folks folks and .005% for vaccinated young folks.

“Imagine 90% of the old folks get vaccinated and 20% of the young folks get vaccinated.

unvaccinated old dead 10000x.5%=50
unvaccinated young dead 80000x.01%=8

vaccinated old dead 90000x.1%=90
vaccinated young dead 20000x.005%=1

The death toll would be 91 vaccinated, 58 unvaccinated.”

Great explanation. And not inconsistent with the headline of the article.


34 posted on 07/29/2021 10:09:06 PM PDT by The Antiyuppie (When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.)
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To: Brian Griffin; Jan_Sobieski

The best you can do is make up some hypothetical nonsense that does not exist in the real world and try to pass that off as proof you are right?

The desperation there is staggering.


44 posted on 07/29/2021 11:32:50 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith…..)
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