Neither is getting the sniffles and feeling slightly headache-y for a few days - which is what more than 99% of all persons suffering Covid-19 experience.
And that doesn't even account for those persons suffering absolutely NO symptoms.
Regards,
Where are you getting 99%?
Present data shows a CFR of around 1.7%. CDC estimates infections at around 80 million, including asymptomatics, so, that’d be an IFR of 0.567%. But, that’s just the fatalities. Serious cases will be MUCH higher. Probably 5x or more.
Then look at the resolved case fatality rate. That’s been hanging at ~3% for some time. Again, probably divide by 3 for a resolved IFR rate, but again, serious cases will be much higher.
A big fly in the ointment is unresolved cases. There are roughly 9.5 million of them out there. Obviously some of these are case tracings lost, and some are in-progress non-severe cases. Trying to estimate how many non-severe cases are active is quite difficult, but I came up with a generous, I think, case length of 15 days for mild cases, multiplied by ~200k cases per day, recently, resulting in 3 million non-severe unresolved active cases. I’m guessing some of the “lost” cases are mild and therefor included in “non-severe unresolved cases”, but, what the heck, I’ll toss in another 2.5 million to combine the categories, and subtract that from the 9.5 million. That leaves us with 4 million severe cases yet to be resolved, which by itself is 5% of the 80 million infected so far.
Other usually fairly reliable web sources estimate 10-20% of infections result in serious or worse illness. Some of that (WebMD) is old data, but surveying what I’ve been able to come up with from a couple church congregations, and adjusting for their older demographic, 10% is not an unreasonable figure. In addition, every person I personally know of who has had serious symptoms has had serious effects lasting 2 months or more.
Sources: Worldometers, CDC, John’s Hopkins, various long time / well known health websites (Harvard Health, WebMD, etc.), personal local observations of an area with modest case rates.
Now, you can dismiss all that published data, or how I interpret it, but I can’t dismiss what I see around me happening to actual people with names. No way is this remotely close to plague, etc., but, it IS considerably nastier than any recent flu.