I’ll go against the grain and say he shocks everyone. He lasts the full first term, using the amazing lust for power that only a career politician can muster to sustain his decrepit mind and body. The last couple of years he is a virtual recluse, the media covers for him and no one does anything much about it. Harris is praised for bravely taking on more duties during this time and becomes the nominee.
Freegards
He can be ousted whenever his handlers (who are they?) want.
Media will be fed leaks about Hunter’s deeds & family corruption so Joe will bail out “to spend more time with his family”.