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To: 2aProtectsTheRest

Excess deaths are simplistically calculated by the CDC based on a mean number of deaths from the previous few years. Why don’t they have a single actuary employed there to project a demography adjusted normal death rate. My point - Expected deaths were always going to be higher this year due to the mean average age climbing.

It’s just the flu, bro.


33 posted on 12/02/2020 9:50:59 AM PST by impimp ( )
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To: impimp

That doesn’t make any sense. So you’re saying that the previous 5 years were all in line with the same models used for decades, but this year was always supposed to be special?

Why is this year special that it should be expected to suddenly be so different from every single other year?

And your claim that CDC doesn’t have a single actuary employed is pure speculation. You have no idea whether they’re employing any actuaries.


34 posted on 12/02/2020 9:55:14 AM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: impimp
You're saying this is normal and expected?

That this is totally normal?

Nothing unusual about this?

Time to face reality: people are dying and a lot more people are dying than need to because people like Governor Cuomo have completely and utterly failed to do their jobs effectively. The sooner the fantasy that things are all sunshine and rainbows gets dropped, the sooner we can focus on holding these people accountable for what they've done and what they've failed to do.

35 posted on 12/02/2020 10:02:31 AM PST by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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