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Polls
Twitter ^ | October 31,2020 | Larry Schwenkarm

Posted on 10/31/2020 9:36:12 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Larry Schweikart @LarrySchweikart · 1h According to Fat Frank Luntz, Trump pollster " @JMcLghln is privately telling people that Trump is ahead in ALL the swing states–including Penn & Michigan, & tied in Wisconsin."

Baris & Trafalgar have it tied or within MOE in WI. Trafalgar has Trump up in MI. Baris has PA tie.


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To: Hojczyk

What I find very upsetting is that the polls even show the lech in this race at all.....are there that many blind and stupid people out there that would even think about voting for the end of America as we know it? That scares the heck outta me.......


21 posted on 10/31/2020 9:57:57 AM PDT by Dawgreg
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To: oldvirginian; cgbg

I was the ringleader for the anti-Cantor movement, writing under a pseudonym.

Here’s the history that the media still has not reported, but we documented in real time as it unfolded.

https://web.archive.org/web/20140618193106/http://thebullelephant.com/real-story-eric-cantors-downfall/


22 posted on 10/31/2020 9:58:58 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Dawgreg

Media polls are intentionally fraudulent. Those people belong in jail for voter suppression/election interference.


23 posted on 10/31/2020 10:01:08 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: j.havenfarm

Luntz = putz

Or Lumpy Luntz......I’m sick of him anyhoo.


24 posted on 10/31/2020 10:01:36 AM PDT by Dawgreg
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To: Starboard

Sounds like Anne Arundel Co. is way leftest these daze too.


25 posted on 10/31/2020 10:03:24 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: RandFan

Me too. 40K absentee ballots not received by people who requested them in Butler county- which is a huge Republican district. Nearly 40,000 registered voters in the county just north of Pittsburgh requested mail ballots. So far, only 24% of them have been returned to the county, by far the lowest rate among the state’s 67 counties. The county with the next-lowest return rate, Fayette, has received 50% of requested ballots.

USPS is unaware of any mail delays or issues for this county.


26 posted on 10/31/2020 10:05:04 AM PDT by Engedi
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To: Hojczyk

I can believe it. I’ve never seen the level of minority engagement and engagement in general for a Republican. There is a strong under current for Trump and its stronger than in 2016. A local GOP told me she was just at a early polling site and she had an elderly black lady come up as she was handing out sample ballots and when asked by her what she was handing out she said “Republican sample ballot” and the lady said “Thats the one I want!” and took one and went to vote. There is something going on and that is here in Virginia. I think Democrats are going to be rudely awakened on Nov 3rd.


27 posted on 10/31/2020 10:05:30 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Free is just another word for someone else has to pay.)
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To: HamiltonJay

I completely agree HJ. When all the dust settles and the campaign autopsy is done, the “experts” will be stunned by the electorate who turned out for Trump. It will look nothing like what every single pollster is currently basing their projections on.


28 posted on 10/31/2020 10:05:48 AM PDT by tatown
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To: cgbg

I don’t think They will “hold” districts. The Philly area almost always reports early, giving a huge lead...then the rest of the state starts to come in..

This is why in 16 none of the networks saw PA for hours. They were told by the Hillary campaign as long as they got X numbers out of Philly they had it in the bag... they got those numbers not realizing Trump was going to run up bigger numbers than anyone before him across the rest of thr state.

Folks like myself new almost immediately Hillary had lost PA... but the networks just kept talking about WI and MI for hours before even realizing Hillary was in Trouble in PA and Trump won in by thr largest margin of all 3.

Trump is going to outperform his 16 numbers across the board.. take it to the bank..

Hillary actually performed better than I expected in 16, I expected her to perform far lower than she did.. I don’t see any way Biden gets Hillary’s numbers.


29 posted on 10/31/2020 10:07:27 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Hojczyk

Ping


30 posted on 10/31/2020 10:08:23 AM PDT by joma89 (Buy weapons and ammo, folks, and have the will to use them.)
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To: tatown
I don't think they will be stunned at all.

They KNOW what is coming.

They wanted so bad to have a negative effect by continuously lying, all of no avail.

All they have left are tears, gallons.

31 posted on 10/31/2020 10:10:57 AM PDT by going hot
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To: RandFan; Hojczyk
I’m worried about fraud.. ConservativeInPA assures us the GOP have the numbers to overwhelm the Dem vote but fraud is the wild card here

I don't see how the Rats compensate with fraud over what is happening here. 130 colleges and universities do not have all students on campus - no way to herd students to vote.

Biden only started his ground game in PA a week and a half ago. Trump had over a million door knocks in PA by Oct 1. I got another one this morning - that's a total of five for me. This one was was asking if I knew where to vote and I needed any help with getting there.

Also, there are the riots in Philadelphia this week. That will have an impact. Add to that the scamdemic will keep some home.

And there is a shift in voter registration favorable to Trump. Part of that has to do with his ground game and the lack of ground game for Biden. See Ravi's posts on this.

Need I mention that there is zero enthusiasm for Biden and his Dark Winter?

Tune into one of the three rallies Trump is having in PA today and see how motivated PA Trump voters are.

32 posted on 10/31/2020 10:20:28 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: going hot

It depends who “they” are.

The DNC and Biden upper level campaign staff knows.

Some of the smarter mass media types know.

But—the brainwashed Democratic voters do not know—they will be the ones screaming and wailing when they find out—just like in 2016.


33 posted on 10/31/2020 10:22:29 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: cgbg

Hopefully Biden will have his “Pat Caddell” moment this weekend.


34 posted on 10/31/2020 10:23:03 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: thoughtomator

Thanks. Great stuff.

Your reporting reminds me of the guy in Seattle who showed how the Democrats stole elections there. He found out that the homeless were all given an address that was the address of the Seattle county courthouse—and then hundreds of votes materialized at that address (even though of course the homeless did not actually show up to vote).

As in your case, the mass media _never_ covered the story.


35 posted on 10/31/2020 10:26:27 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: Hojczyk; LS; Coop; Impy

If I were polling in Mich:
One of the final question ... for whom did you vote in ‘12 (Trump or Hillary)?

Then weight by that horserace. So it’s 50/50. It’s a way of compensating for hidden Trumps and other sampling errors.

Can do similar in other states.


36 posted on 10/31/2020 10:26:59 AM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
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To: ConservativeInPA

Thanks for the update CPA!

I feel a bit more optimistic after that....


37 posted on 10/31/2020 10:30:34 AM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: cgbg
The sheep are definitely gonna bleat.

The upper echelon knows they are gonna drown in the red tsunami.

Need to que the Hawaii Five O theme music!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd6GyJoWPq8"

38 posted on 10/31/2020 10:31:49 AM PDT by going hot
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To: going hot
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zd6GyJoWPq8
39 posted on 10/31/2020 10:35:25 AM PDT by going hot
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To: thoughtomator

Media polls are intentionally fraudulent. Those people belong in jail for voter suppression/election interference.

I agree and hopefully on January 22, (save the 21st to get the lists ready) heads will roll, jails will be full and let the next term begin! It ought to be goooooood.......;)


40 posted on 10/31/2020 10:41:54 AM PDT by Dawgreg
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