This is what I have been saying, and has been obvious to anyone who actually gets out of the large metro cities and doesn’t have their heads up their own arses.
The turnout and margins Trump is going to pull in these areas is going to be like NOTHING anyone has ever seen. These areas are always more republican, but the margin it’s going to be this cycle is going to be off the scale... combined with the enthusiasm they have to vote for Trump, it’s unprecedented.
We aren’t talking 55-45 or even 66-33 GOP to D it’s going to be well above that in a lot of places, and it’s going to catch the entire punditry sleeping again, just like it did in 16.
The pollsters think, we fixed our polls, we made sure to poll people without College degrees more... not remotely realizing that was not simply what was wrong in their 16 models. It’s not just people without college degrees.. I can interview 600 non college degree folks in a large urban city and I will get a completely different outcome than if I interviewed 600 people who live in small towns and medium sized cities without college degrees.
The polls are absolute crap.. Biden up 17 in WI?? Please. Even the takers of that poll know that’s crap nobly exists to skew the averages higher for Biden.
Polls claiming Biden up 8 or 14 nationally?!?? Ludicrous.
For that to be true you are looking at a Reagan v Carter or a Reagan V Mondale election with Biden playing the role of Reagan... it’s nonsense.
Anyone who has actually pounded the pavement and driven the back and dirt roads anywhere in the US can tell you, this is crap. I have personally never seen anything and I do mean anything like what I am seeing on the ground for Trump here in PA and OH... the only way you can think this thing is in the bag for Biden is if you never leave a deep blue urban core.. and even there there is no enthusiasm for Biden.
The only major enthusiastic Biden supporters I have found, are almost always Never Trumpers... even the hard core democrats are blasé are best in their support of Biden. They will show up and vote but hardly are they happy and enthusiastic about it.
Biden will still win the urban centers, but his margins will be less (and in some places FAR less) there, and Trumps margins outside them are going to be stunning.
Do you think there is even a small chance Trump could take New York? And if not “take”, at least make a strong showing early in the evening of election night. Wouldn’t NY/NJ be like the canary in the coal mine as an early indicator to the marxist media that something big is happening?
Even early returns like 51/49 Biden/Trump would put frowny faces on all the fake media pundits.
I still can’t believe that Andrea Mitchell and MSNBC even put this piece on air. I hope the poor reporter is still employed...:-)
He said it was “stunning.” Yes, I think they are all stunned...:-) They thought they had this one in the bag for months.
That’s what all of us on Free Republic are hoping.... well, most of us, anyway.
That's where the people are. That's what makes them large metro cities.