[navymom1]

Historian on Fox (Predicted accurately since GHW Bush) has just stated Joe Biden will win the Presidency on Tuesday.

Fox clip on youtube. Suppression poll tactic? Can’t believe this is real.

[Jane Long]

Link?

Name?

[politicket]

Historian on Fox (Predicted accurately since GHW Bush) has just stated Joe Biden will win the Presidency on Tuesday.

Look at his points showing a loss. They're bogus. He says that Trump has failed in foreign policy? We have more respect in the world than we have for decades...

Be careful of "systems" where they work backwards and proclaim their sainthood.

[Melian]

Q warned there will be heavy propaganda coming from the media in the next few days.
Fight!

[Yulee]

Suppression poll tactic? Can’t believe this is real.
**************
Hopefully it will have the opposite effect, and suppress Dems from voting. After all they were told in 2016 that Hillary would win by a big margine. They are no being told the same.

[stylin19a]

He couldn't possibly use all these same questions in 2016 as they wouldn't have fit.
13 questions he uses ?...
i have a bone to pick about a few -> especially #11. how about Syria and the peace agreements with Israel ?
and the GDP bounce-back has to mean something in #6
and not sure how he came to that conclusion in #12 ?

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the House than it did after the previous midterm elections. False. “Republicans lost the U.S. House midterms in 2018.”

2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination. True. “No Republicans challenged Trump.”

3. Incumbency: The sitting president is running for re-election. True. “Doesn’t look like he’s stepping down.”

4. Third Party: There is no major third-party challenge. True. “Despite claims by Kanye West to be running, this is a two-party race.”

5. Short-Term Economy: The economy during the election season is not in recession. False. “The [coronavirus] pandemic has pushed the economy into recession.”

6. Long-Term Economy: Real annual per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the two previous terms. False. “The pandemic has caused such negative GDP growth in 2020 that the key has turned false.”

7. Policy Change: The incumbent causes major changes in national policy. True. ”Through his tax cut, but mostly through his executive orders, Trump has fundamentally changed the policies of the Obama era.”

8. Social Unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the campaign. False. “There has been considerable social unrest on the streets, with enough violence to threaten the social order.”

9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandals. False. “As I predicted, Trump was impeached. Plus, he has plenty of other scandals.”

10. Foreign or Military Failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. True. “We’ve had some very difficult moments with Donald Trump, but so far, true.”

11. Foreign or Military Success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. False. “While Trump hasn’t had any big, splashy failures, he hasn’t had any major successes either.”

12. Incumbent Charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic. False. “Trump is a great showman, but he only appeals to a narrow slice of Americans.”

13. Challenger Charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic. True. “Biden is a decent, empathetic person, but he’s not inspirational or charismatic.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/05/biden-will-beat-trump-says-historian-who-predicted-every-race-since-1984.html