Having been to South Africa in the past two years, I would offer this observation.
First, there are literally thousands of young unemployed men, and hundreds of ‘gangs’ in the country where you could hire up thirty guys to conduct some raid of a party or shopping center where the ambassador conducts her business. Waving a million dollars at a 30-member gang would not be that difficult.
Second, the police in SA are probably among the most inept that you might ever run across.
Third, there are dozens of ghetto districts that the gang can retreat into, and disappear.
Fourth, even if a threat exists...I don’t think the government of SA would do anything to lessen the threat or send a message to Iran. Things are so screwed up....that they literally wouldn’t care.
The way nations like the US and Russia send believable threats is to crank up the logistics necessary for military action. Obama famously drew lines in the rhetorical sand but didn’t move a single bullet into useful range, so he was never taken seriously. When North Korea performed the obligatory challenge to a new president, Nixon, by shooting some soldiers across the DMZ, he moved millions of dollars worth of logistics and announced he was going to blast them back to the stone age. The North quickly executed some luckless soldiers and apologized. There were no more problems while Nixon was in office. That’s how it’s done and Trump knows the trick.
Trump has developed a reputation world wide, that he doesnt screw around.
Therefore, I think he purposely leaks the Iran plan to kill our ambassador in S. Africa so he can tell Iran that if they do, he will retaliate 1000 times over.
You hear crickets from the world. Why? Because they all know and fear that he will unleash all hell if they do this.
And they could be next.
Why is this important?
Because China will think twice before they invade Taiwan, or N. Kor will think twice before attack the Souyh etc etc.
All of a sudden the world is a safer place because of one man.
Trump.
Why did you go to South Africa?
“Having been to South Africa in the past two years, I would offer this observation.
“First, there are literally thousands of young unemployed men, and hundreds of gangs in the country where you could hire up thirty guys to conduct some raid of a party or shopping center where the ambassador conducts her business. Waving a million dollars at a 30-member gang would not be that difficult.
“Second, the police in SA are probably among the most inept that you might ever run across.
“Third, there are dozens of ghetto districts that the gang can retreat into, and disappear.
“Fourth, even if a threat exists...I dont think the government of SA would do anything to lessen the threat or send a message to Iran. Things are so screwed up....that they literally wouldnt care.”
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Why do our cities of Portland, New York & Chicago come to mind when reading this? Except instead of “the police in” it would be “the mayor/city council in”?