Y’all might have seem my emoji COVID algebra, but some folks said they could not see all the emojis. So, here it is again with variables as just letters rather than emojis.
These numbers are from a few days back, but I do not suspect the bottom line percentages to change too much.
Givens:
d = Total co-morbidity inclusive deaths = 169,044
n = No co-morbidity deaths percentage = 6% = .06
t = Total tests = 43,204,184
p = Total positive cases = 3,836,639
Young People (0-34):
y = 1,667 total deaths
Co-morbidity inclusive deaths:
y/d = .0098 = 1%
No co-morbidity deaths:
(y * n) = 100 deaths
(y * n)/d = .0006 = .06% of d
Middle-Aged People (35-54)
m = 12,380 total deaths
Co-morbidity inclusive deaths:
m/d = .07 = 7% of d
No co-morbidity deaths:
(m * n) = 743 deaths
(m * n)/d = .004 = .4% of d
Old People (55-85+)
o = 154,998 total deaths
Co-morbidity inclusive deaths:
o/d = .92 = 92% of d
No co-morbidity deaths:
(o * n) = 9300 deaths
(o * n)/d = .05 = 5% of d
Total no co-morbidity deaths
d * n = 10,143
Chances of contracting COVID
p/t = .09 or 9% = c
Death rate
d/p = .044 = 4.4% = r
Chances of dying “WITH” COVID
Young:
c * r * 1% = 0.00004 = 0.004%
Middle-aged:
c * r * 7% = 0.0003 = 0.03%
Old:
c * r * 91% = 0.004 = 0.4%
Chances of dying “OF” COVID
Young:
n * 0.00004 = .0000024 = .00024%
Middle-aged:
n * 0.0003 = .000018 = .0018%
Old:
n * 0.004 = .00024 = .024%
Sauce:
https://nytimes.com/2020/08/29/health/coronavirus-testing.html
https://cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
https://cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
lotta great analysis.
let the numbers speak for themselves.
Thanks for the additional. I saw the other one but because of the word “algebra” my eyes glazed over instantly.
you numba one
ThankQ, numberonepal, for posting this info!!