updated precision chart
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The individual who presented such a naive projection would be chided with suggestions that they should sue their business school or maybe even the turnip truck they just rode in on.
Such is the data we are receiving from CDC. They offer no explanation for why the "Hockey Stick" should bend so drastically up in mid-June, at the same time as deaths continue to go down. They offer NO INSIGHT as to the obvious southward travel of the Chinavirus Wave ... except of course that Chinavirus needs to punish Trump supporters now.
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67,382 so-called New Cases Today; More than Double the highest levels of the Northern Crest of the Chinavirus Traveling Wave ... YET, 64% fewer daily deaths (2-week moving average).
Texas reported the lowest number of so-called New Cases in 13 days, and Florida and California may have peaked as well.
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I'm reading The Hundred-Year Marathon (2015) by Michael Pillsbury and highly recommend it. He is fluent in Mandarin and has been on the front lines of meeting with both Chinese leaders and Chinese defectors since the Nixon administration. He admits they had him duped, like most American scholars, for a long time. But not any more.
Pillsbury's book is a highly readable 232-page essay about China's strategy of DECEPTION, about their obsessive desire for revenge at what they consider a century of humiliation at the hands of Great Britain and America (ending with Mao's communist takeover), about their willingness to pretend weakness for long periods of time in order to win in the end; about THEIR PLAN FOR WORLD DOMINATION.
This nifty essay (in 11 chapters) is followed by 66 pages of footnotes LOL.
Pillsbury says one of the biggest FRAUDS was Deng Xiaopeng, who was successfully SOLD to Americans, including our "China Experts" as a reformer who was easing them towards capitalism and possibly even democracy ... but in reality was imprisoning, murdering and otherwise intimidating all the genuine reformers.
Even the "gentle philosophy" of Confucius is a HOAX ON THE WEST, according to Pillsbury ... something deliberately planted by Mao and his successors to disguise the fact that China's ACTUAL PLAYBOOK comes from their "Warring States Period", the time of Sun Tzu and numerous other writers on warfare between successive "Hegemons" and the brilliant "Sage-Generals" who displaced them.
Guess who they see as the current "Hegemon."
CHINAVIRUS DATA:
1. United States CHINAVIRUS Confirmed Cases through about mid-June
2. Highly (and Deliberately) Contaminated Data from mid-June Forward
(contaminated with antibody-tests, duplicates, false positives and dubious "Probables")
Date New Total New Linear Model
Cases Cases Since
Actual + FAKE 5/9/2020
3/14/2020 2,717
3/15/2020 761 3,478
3/16/2020 1,167 4,645
3/17/2020 1,717 6,362
3/18/2020 1,407 7,769
3/19/2020 5,911 13,680
3/20/2020 5,605 19,285
3/21/2020 7,462 26,747
3/22/2020 8,478 35,225
3/23/2020 11,107 46,332
3/24/2020 8,816 55,148
3/25/2020 13,870 69,018
3/26/2020 16,635 85,653
3/27/2020 19,363 105,016
3/28/2020 19,448 124,464
3/29/2020 17,892 142,356
3/30/2020 22,003 164,359
3/31/2020 25,151 189,510
4/1/2020 27,005 216,515
4/2/2020 28,698 245,213
4/3/2020 32,740 277,953
4/4/2020 34,123 312,076
4/5/2020 25,544 337,620
4/6/2020 30,576 368,196
4/7/2020 31,916 400,112
4/8/2020 32,020 432,132
4/9/2020 33,618 465,750
4/10/2020 35,551 501,301
4/11/2020 31,942 533,243
4/12/2020 27,289 560,532
4/13/2020 26,623 587,155
4/14/2020 26,937 614,092
4/15/2020 30,468 644,560
4/16/2020 35,221 679,781
4/17/2020 30,550 710,331
4/18/2020 29,521 739,852
4/19/2020 24,413 764,265
4/20/2020 28,648 792,913
4/21/2020 32,128 825,041
4/22/2020 24,051 849,092
4/23/2020 37,617 886,709
4/24/2020 38,329 925,038
4/25/2020 35,858 960,896
4/26/2020 26,426 987,322
4/27/2020 23,185 1,010,507
4/28/2020 25,258 1,035,765
4/29/2020 28,807 1,064,572
4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210
5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452
5/2/2020 29,312 1,160,764
5/3/2020 27,358 1,188,122
5/4/2020 24,778 1,212,900
5/5/2020 24,763 1,237,663
5/6/2020 25,520 1,263,183
5/7/2020 29,440 1,292,623
5/8/2020 29,162 1,321,785
5/9/2020 25,524 1,347,309 1,347,309
5/10/2020 20,329 1,367,638 1,369,669
5/11/2020 18,196 1,385,834 1,392,029
5/12/2020 22,802 1,408,636 1,414,389
5/13/2020 21,712 1,430,348 1,436,749
5/14/2020 27,245 1,457,593 1,459,109
5/15/2020 26,692 1,484,285 1,481,469
5/16/2020 23,488 1,507,773 1,503,829
5/17/2020 19,891 1,527,664 1,526,189
5/18/2020 22,630 1,550,294 1,548,549
5/19/2020 20,279 1,570,573 1,570,909
5/20/2020 22,466 1,593,039 1,593,269
5/21/2020 27,863 1,620,902 1,615,629
5/22/2020 24,192 1,645,094 1,637,989
5/23/2020 21,734 1,666,828 1,660,349
5/24/2020 19,608 1,686,436 1,682,709
5/25/2020 19,790 1,706,226 1,705,069
5/26/2020 19,049 1,725,275 1,727,429
5/27/2020 20,528 1,745,803 1,749,789
5/28/2020 22,658 1,768,461 1,772,149
5/29/2020 25,069 1,793,530 1,794,509
5/30/2020 23,290 1,816,820 1,816,869
5/31/2020 20,350 1,837,170 1,839,229
6/1/2020 22,153 1,859,323 1,861,589
6/2/2020 21,882 1,881,205 1,883,949
6/3/2020 20,578 1,901,783 1,906,309
6/4/2020 22,268 1,924,051 1,928,669
6/5/2020 41,657 1,965,708 1,951,029
6/6/2020 22,876 1,988,584 1,973,389
6/7/2020 18,825 2,007,409 1,995,749
6/8/2020 19,084 2,026,493 2,018,109
6/9/2020 19,056 2,045,549 2,040,469
6/10/2020 20,852 2,066,401 2,062,829
6/11/2020 23,300 2,089,701 2,085,189
6/12/2020 27,221 2,116,922 2,107,549
6/13/2020 25,302 2,142,224 2,129,909
6/14/2020 19,920 2,162,144 2,152,269
6/15/2020 20,806 2,182,950 2,174,629
6/16/2020 25,450 2,208,400 2,196,989
6/17/2020 25,971 2,234,371 2,219,349
6/18/2020 29,280 2,263,651 2,241,709
6/19/2020 33,539 2,297,190 2,264,069
6/20/2020 33,388 2,330,578 2,286,429
6/21/2020 26,079 2,356,657 2,308,789
6/22/2020 31,496 2,388,153 2,331,149
6/23/2020 36,015 2,424,168 2,353,509
6/24/2020 38,386 2,462,554 2,375,869
6/25/2020 42,034 2,504,588 2,398,229
6/26/2020 48,368 2,552,956 2,420,589
6/27/2020 43,581 2,596,537 2,442,949
6/28/2020 40,540 2,637,077 2,465,309
6/29/2020 44,734 2,681,811 2,487,669
6/30/2020 46,042 2,727,853 2,510,029
7/1/2020 52,100 2,779,953 2,532,389
7/2/2020 57,236 2,837,189 2,554,749
7/3/2020 53,399 2,890,588 2,577,109
7/4/2020 45,182 2,935,770 2,599,469
7/5/2020 47,158 2,982,928 2,621,829
7/6/2020 57,905 3,040,833 2,644,189
7/7/2020 56,251 3,097,084 2,666,549
7/8/2020 61,848 3,158,932 2,688,909
7/9/2020 61,067 3,219,999 2,711,269
7/10/2020 71,787 3,291,786 2,733,629
7/11/2020 63,860 3,355,646 2,755,989
7/12/2020 58,349 3,413,995 2,778,349
7/13/2020 65,488 3,479,483 2,800,709
7/14/2020 65,594 3,545,077 2,823,069
7/15/2020 71,670 3,616,747 2,845,429
7/16/2020 78,278 3,695,025 2,867,789
7/17/2020 74,987 3,770,012 2,890,149
7/18/2020 63,259 3,833,271 2,912,509
7/19/2020 65,279 3,898,550 2,934,869
7/20/2020 62,879 3,961,429 2,957,229
7/21/2020 67,140 4,028,569 2,979,589
7/22/2020 72,306 4,100,875 3,001,949
7/23/2020 69,116 4,169,991 3,024,309
7/24/2020 78,336 4,248,327 3,046,669
7/25/2020 67,382 4,315,709 3,069,029
7/26/2020 3,091,389
7/27/2020 3,113,749
7/28/2020 3,136,109
7/29/2020 3,158,469
7/30/2020 3,180,829
7/31/2020 3,203,189
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Tisk ... someone didn’t meet their quota today. Maybe they should up the number of assumed contacts again. Unbelievable.
I have a friend in Rochester, NY, who was supposed to have rotator cuff surgery at the end of March but it was cancelled. She was rescheduled for last week. As a precaution, the hospital did a “Covid test” four days before the surgery and she tested positive for ANTIBODIES. My friend recalls being quite sick with what she thought was the flu in early December 2019 and she’s now sure she had it back then. But she’s currently being counted as an “asymptomatic new case” in NY and is under 14 days quarantine.
These are undoubtedly some of the “new cases”.