Sorry, but that is not correct. The current 7-day moving average COVID-19 deaths per day in Florida is 45, which is the highest it's been since May 11th.
Posted on 07/04/2020 11:59:47 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
I can no longer believe the stats because the data is being driven by the narrative. These are deaths with Covid, not by Covid.
Yep. All to make President Trump look bad. If Hillary was President, media will be saying thanks to Hillary’s leadership, recovery is now starting.
Per CDC guidelines the epidemic threshold is crossed when a disease causes more than 7.2% of the total weekly deaths. COVID became a CDC defined epidemic in the 1st week of April and stopped being one in mid-June.
I usually type NY and the Northeast. Additive. My bad. But there is a subtle item you may have missed. The CDC Excess Death page separates out NY and NYC. It does not include NYC in NY. You have to add them both together yourself.
The Northeast generated a huge proportion of the peak. The overall decline is mostly attributable to declines in the Northeast since that’s where the bulk of deaths came from. California is on its way to trying to offset that. Big recent death surge in Cali.
As for 7 day moving average, this is a time frame with lots of state holidays positioned on weekends and counties tabulators stay home. We also haven’t had a chance for re-opening infections to get to the parents yet. 500-600 looks likely for a least square fit on a negative exponential.
BTW, with the 34 decrease on 550 you would like, that’s 188K/yr. 8-9% increase in age 65+ deaths per year. And that’s with all the measures currently in place that everyone, truly everyone, would like to be rid of.
No society can tolerate a 9% increase on deaths of elderly as a normal state of affairs.
I think they are trying to restart the Vancouver based film industry but so many people involved in that need to travel across borders and that is only possible in limited circumstances with a two-week mandatory isolation to start the work visit, so it’s tough sledding. On the other hand, the infection rates are surprisingly low in Vancouver, given that it’s basically the Canadian Seattle/Portland.
Sorry, but that is not correct. The current 7-day moving average COVID-19 deaths per day in Florida is 45, which is the highest it's been since May 11th.
Thanks for the update. I hadn’t thought of the two week quarantine for Americans. That of course makes sense.
There isn't a big death surge in CA. The 7 day moving average for daily deaths in CA has been flat to slightly down since mid April.
As for 7 day moving average, this is a time frame with lots of state holidays positioned on weekends and counties tabulators stay home.
That's exactly the reason why we use a seven day moving average. In a given seven day cycle, you get days where counties don't tabulate as much AND you get days where counties make up for the low tabulations by doing lots of tabulations.
We also haven’t had a chance for re-opening infections to get to the parents yet.
We don't know that. The reason for the average age drop is because they are now testing many asymtomatics.
They are testing asymptomatics. I have zero interest in cases.
But again I wasn’t clear. It’s summer time. County workers are on holiday, aka vacation. And the smart ones schedule to include weekends.
No question the numbers are weird. Huge spikes followed by not many at all, within a day. You don’t smooth a 2 week vacation and returning from vacation with a 7 day average.
105 deaths Cali June 30, 98 on the 2nd, and then 6 today, less than a week later. This is some bizarre systemic thing and you can’t average non repeating events like a vacation. Or a change of Covid attribution.
Mostly we have to wait. Excess deaths have a quoted delay. You can see lockdown on the curves, but not reopen.
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