[rlmorel]

I agree. I don’t think there is a chance in Hell.

But it could be 20-25% realistically.

Think of it. That is realistic, not crazy. And the Left counts on the Republican candidate getting no more than 10-15% max. (Trump got 8% in 2016)

If Trump gets 20-25% of the black vote, that is catastrophic for the Left, IMO.

And I think they know it.

[convoter2016]

I remember a Rasmussen poll around January 2017 that had Obama’s job approval was around 60% even though America had just voted Trump for President. Job approval doesn’t correlate to election results. However I’m encouraged that 40% of blacks might even entertain the possibility of voting for Trump. Though I expect and hope that as many as 12% of blacks will vote for Trump in 2020.

[stormhill]

You're right all around.
No one expects this number to be realized in actual votes in November; the trouble for the left is that it might indicate a trend. White voters are intimidated into hiding their support for Trump so the polls tend to be skewed in favor of Biden. If Blacks are being more candid, this could be a looming catastrophe for democrats.

Nobody likes to be lied to and the attacks against the president have been proven obviously absurd. The media and democrats don't even apologize when caught, they merely move on to the next lie. This has probably backfired on them and strengthened his support. If your estimates are close to accurate, I don't see the left bouncing back too soon. The down-ballot repercussions will be earthshaking.

[cowboyusa]

Some of it could be that PT stood in front of the burned church, and held up his Bible.

[nwrep]

15% black vote in November will be the highest in 50 years for a Republican.