It might be a lot worse than 1%...
Moderna reports positive data on early-stage coronavirus vaccine trial, shares surge
Earlier this month, Moderna announced that it was wrapping up phase one human trials on its potential vaccine with the U.S. government and is moving to start phase two trials that would include 600 participants. If the vaccine is found to be effective and safe to use, it could be ready for the market in early 2021, the company said.
The company said the vaccine was generally safe and well tolerated. To date, the most notable adverse events were seen in the 250-dose group where three participants developed “grade 3 systemic symptoms,” following the second dose, the company said.
The company said it expects to begin a phase 3 trial in July.
You saw the caution of risk in this glowing press release, didn’t you? No? I didn’t either, unless you consider the note “three participants developed “grade 3 systemic symptoms,” a caution.
Here is the detail for one of those “grade 3 systemic symptoms:
He experienced a severe reaction to Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine candidate. He’s still a believer
https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/26/moderna-vaccine-candidate-trial-participant-severe-reaction/
“Twelve hours after receiving his second dose, he developed a fever of more than 103 degrees, sought medical attention, and, after being released from an urgent care facility, fainted in his home. He recovered within a day.”
I don’t know what the other two “grade 3 systemic symptoms” were, so they MIGHT NOT have been as serious as that, so let’s just pretend this is the only bad one in all 45 participants.
After all that’s only 2.2% rate of bad results to good results.
So that’s 97.8% good, right? So it’s OK to make it mandatory, right? After all, if you use it on 300,000,000 people that’s only 6,600,000 bad results, right? After all, the Covid-19 virus has already killed 100,000 people in the USA, so making only 66 people sick to save one of those lives is a good trade, right? (extreme sarcasm)
And by the way, this is an mRNA vaccine, easy to develop and manufacture, and scientists have been working on them for years, however, none have ever yet succeeded and been approved for use on Humans.