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TODAY: Another Sunday Fluctuation DOWN ... but we'll take it

The LINEAR projection model is still intact; but, clearly, not too much can be made these days of short-term ups and downs.

I am guessing the recent fluctuations are because the focus is moving out of New York, and the reporting regimen in other states is a little irregular by comparison as to when data get uploaded.

So any change in trend will probably take several days to recognize and confirm.

STILL, today being DOWN is good news.

FWIW, deaths attributed to CHINAVIRUS were 1,150, the lowest since April 2nd ... but I'm not setting off fireworks yet for reasons outlined above. Gotta see it for a few days.

United States CHINAVIRUS Confirmed Cases

Date    	New	Total	Linear Model
        	Cases	Cases	Since
        	Actual	Actual	4/2/2020
3/14/2020		 2,717 	
3/15/2020	 761 	 3,478 	
3/16/2020	 1,167 	 4,645 	
3/17/2020	 1,717 	 6,362 	
3/18/2020	 1,407 	 7,769 	
3/19/2020	 5,911 	 13,680 	
3/20/2020	 5,605 	 19,285 	
3/21/2020	 7,462 	 26,747 	
3/22/2020	 8,478 	 35,225 	
3/23/2020	 11,107  46,332 	
3/24/2020	 8,816 	 55,148 	
3/25/2020	 13,870  69,018 	
3/26/2020	 16,635  85,653 	
3/27/2020	 19,363 105,016 	
3/28/2020	 19,448 124,464 	
3/29/2020	 17,892 142,356 	
3/30/2020	 22,003 164,359 	
3/31/2020	 25,151 189,510 	
4/1/2020	 27,005 216,515 	
4/2/2020	 28,698 245,213 245,213 
4/3/2020	 32,740 277,953 277,216 
4/4/2020	 34,123 312,076 309,219 
4/5/2020	 25,544 337,620 341,222 
4/6/2020	 30,576 368,196 373,225 
4/7/2020	 31,916 400,112 405,228 
4/8/2020	 32,020 432,132 437,231 
4/9/2020	 33,618 465,750 469,234 
4/10/2020	 35,551 501,301 501,237 
4/11/2020	 31,942 533,243 533,240 
4/12/2020	 27,289 560,532 565,243 
4/13/2020	 26,623 587,155 597,246 
4/14/2020	 26,937 614,092 629,249 
4/15/2020	 30,468 644,560 661,252 
4/16/2020	 35,221 679,781 693,255 
4/17/2020	 30,550 710,331 725,258 
4/18/2020	 29,521 739,852 757,261 
4/19/2020	 24,413 764,265 789,264 
4/20/2020	 28,648 792,913 821,267 
4/21/2020	 32,128 825,041 853,270 
4/22/2020	 24,051 849,092 885,273 
4/23/2020	 37,617 886,709 917,276 
4/24/2020	 38,329 925,038 949,279 
4/25/2020	 35,858 960,896 981,282 
4/26/2020	 26,426 987,322 1,013,285 
4/27/2020		 . 	1,045,288 
4/28/2020		 . 	1,077,291 
4/29/2020		 . 	1,109,294 
4/30/2020		 . 	1,141,297 
5/1/2020		 . 	1,173,300 
5/2/2020		 . 	1,205,303 
5/3/2020		 . 	1,237,306 
5/4/2020		 . 	1,269,309 
5/5/2020		 . 	1,301,312 
5/6/2020		 . 	1,333,315 
5/7/2020		 . 	1,365,318 
5/8/2020		 . 	1,397,321 
5/9/2020		 . 	1,429,324 
5/10/2020		 . 	1,461,327 
5/11/2020		 . 	1,493,330 
5/12/2020		 . 	1,525,333 
5/13/2020		 . 	1,557,336 
5/14/2020		 . 	1,589,339 
5/15/2020		 . 	1,621,342