California is something of a test lab for herd immunity.
It’s population size and the large number of travelers from China make it unique in some ways. Unlike NY, as far as we know, Chinese were still entering California after the travel ban via Canada and Europe.
Fake News won’t forever be able to hide the reality that the virus was in California at least as early as November, possibly even October.
Where are all of the bodies piled up in the streets? What is the USNS Mercy doing?
Navin Gruesome’s fiefdom is probably the best argument for ending lockdown that we have.
Yep, we have enough numbers now to make educated guesses. Mine for California is a 0.077% CFR (Case Fatality Rate)...lower than the “regular flu” (CFR 0.096%-0.176%). This is based on several antibody studies showing a 4%-5% total population infection rate, I used 5%.
On the other hand if you do the whole USA you get a CFR of 0.304% (much higher than “regular flu”...almost 2x higher). N.Y. & N.J. skew the results much higher...5 million a day riding the subway probably not a good idea.
If you do the “48 state” math (w/o N.Y./N.J.) you get a CFR of about 0.158%...about the same as regular flu.
More antibody testing & time will tell.
All true.