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To: Hojczyk
Taking the current numbers for the United States, as reported on Worldometers, the unadjusted case fatality rate for closed cases is 36842 deaths/(36842 deaths + 59328 recoveries) = 38.3%.

If we assume the number of recoveries is 10 times higher, then that number becomes 5.8%. Way higher than the seasonal (or even the Spanish) flu.

Calculating the same number assuming the 50 times higher number of recoveries, then the number becomes 1.2%. Still 12 times more deadly than the seasonal flu.

Assuming the 85 times higher upper limit, the number becomes 0.7%. Still 7 times higher than the seasonal flu.

I agree that it would be great news if the number of infections are really 85 times higher than what has been reported. But even then, it ain't the flu, bro!

6 posted on 04/17/2020 2:03:55 PM PDT by scouter (As for me and my household... We will serve the LORD.)
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To: scouter
there was never mass testing for the flu....and there are no random tests for the flu either....

you can't make up this stuff just on assumptions because flu deaths/cases are treated differently(ignored) while every single covid case is documented or guessed at or conjured up....

enough....

LET MY PEOPLE GO!

11 posted on 04/17/2020 2:15:25 PM PDT by cherry
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To: scouter

Peak hospitalization rate for this first wave has passed in 33 states plus DC according to https://covid19.healthdata.org/


18 posted on 04/17/2020 2:22:44 PM PDT by Qout
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To: scouter
I don't think that your math is correct. 50 times the cases means that you multiply the denominator by 50.

For example, 6% fatal outcomes would be represented by the fraction, 6/100. Now multiply the denominator by 50.

23 posted on 04/17/2020 2:33:39 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: scouter

Twist as much as you want....as the poster pointed out. If we use today’s deaths and divide by cases the death rate is 0.08%. It is pretzel logic to quote all the stats of closed cases etc etc etc. we know the number of deaths at this point and the presumed number of case. This is classic statistical manipulation you are performing to fit a narrative.


28 posted on 04/17/2020 2:41:59 PM PDT by gas_dr (Trial lawyers AND POLITICIANS are Endangering Every Patient in America: INCLUDING THEIR LIBERTIES)
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To: scouter

Your math is bad.


32 posted on 04/17/2020 2:51:05 PM PDT by impimp
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To: scouter

Do you really think Worldometer recoveries are accurate?

They have been EXTERMLY slow about reporting recoveries.

The diamond princess which docked on February 27th still has all 46 cases as active. I don’t think so.

Illinois 27,575 cases 50 recoveries?
Louisiana 23,118 cases again 50 recoveries?

Recoveries are not being reported — Doesn’t fit the narrative


33 posted on 04/17/2020 2:57:32 PM PDT by Freeze923
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