The data says the growth of confirmed cases is still linear: 32,000 new cases per day.
Deaths are also linear for the last 3 days: 2,000 per day ... but that's just 3 days.
I am not able to perceive a change in the pattern to justify the new, more optimistic, death projections referenced today by Dr. Birx. I HOPE THEY'RE RIGHT THIS TIME.
United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases
Date Daily Total Reduced
Growth Cases Exponential
Actual Actual Model
3/14/2020 2,717
3/15/2020 761 3,478
3/16/2020 1,167 4,645
3/17/2020 1,717 6,362
3/18/2020 1,407 7,769
3/19/2020 5,911 13,680
3/20/2020 5,605 19,285
3/21/2020 7,462 26,747
3/22/2020 8,478 35,225 35,225
3/23/2020 11,107 46,332 44,031
3/24/2020 8,816 55,148 55,039
3/25/2020 13,870 69,018 68,799
3/26/2020 16,635 85,653 85,999
3/27/2020 19,363 105,016 107,498
3/28/2020 19,448 124,464 134,373
3/29/2020 17,892 142,356 167,966
3/30/2020 22,003 164,359 209,957
3/31/2020 25,151 189,510 262,447
4/1/2020 27,005 216,515 328,058
4/2/2020 28,698 245,213 410,073
4/3/2020 32,740 277,953 512,591
4/4/2020 34,123 312,076 640,739
4/5/2020 25,544 337,620 800,924
4/6/2020 30,576 368,196 1,001,155
4/7/2020 31,916 400,112 1,251,443
4/8/2020 32,020 432,132 1,564,304
4/9/2020 33,618 465,750 1,955,380
4/10/2020 35,551 501,301 2,444,225
4/11/2020 . 3,055,282
4/12/2020 . 3,819,102
Thank you, Dis. Flat is better than increase. And according to Brix, those “with” cv are not necessarily dying “from” cv but counted nonetheless.