[mrsmith]

I wonder.
The idea of “flattening the curve” is to delay cases. (Or front load them which I haven’t seen much effort toward)

So when, where do those casss appear?
They don’t disappear.

[amorphous]

Further down the line. The idea is to slow the spread so HCS don't become overwhelmed. Most seem to be holding up well compared to what Italy went through - except maybe NY. Italy's CFR soared once their HCS collapsed. Their ND/TD ratio has fallen tremendously but that is calculated on the total number who have died, so they are still seeing a large number of daily deaths.

Like Korea, they seem stuck at the level they're at now. I don't doubt that what you say about the US becoming stuck at some level isn't going to be what we see soon. I just hope we get that level down to 5% (two weeks) or even lower. 10% (1 week) is way too high. We may begin to overwhelm our HCS at that level, if it continues.

We need a cure...