[janetjanet998]

IHME model way off in Italy and Spain predicting the decrease of deaths per day after the peak...

It is decreasing deaths too fast..as I pointed out before the model may have been wrong with the highest daily peak of deaths but I think it is also off because it decreases the daily deaths too fast..the slope is to steep

Spain
https://covid19.healthdata.org/spain

Italy
https://covid19.healthdata.org/italy

some of this data is plugged into the runs of the US models so it will be interesting to see if changes in later runs

[amorphous]

Thanks!