https://twitter.com/CJinKnoxTN/status/1246824303074705408
Modelling and NY.
CJinKnoxTN
@CJinKnoxTN
It predicts a peak of 855 deaths on 4/9. Note the lower bound of UW predicts a peak of 563 on 4/6 and an upper bound peak of 1107 on 4/10). This is how UW predicts everything else (admission rate, beds, etc). They shape their model off reported deaths. /4
Looks like nearly all models and undershooting the results on the ground.
NYC had 757 deaths over the last 24hrs.