After re-projecting the numbers from today, projected number of deaths on 15 April are 37k, instead of 50k, if the ND/TD rate stays the same.
Naturally I believe/hope the ND/TD rate continues to fall quite a lot, right up to 15 April. Quarantines fully in place, HCQ success, and other measures taken - mandatory masks perhaps - should really make a difference.
A falling ND/TD rate has a huge effect on the final 15 April number - the day some predict peak infection will occur.
That 34k is cumulative deaths right?