Did you all see Dr. Campbell’s YouTube this morning? He said a new Imperial College study published on Monday has expounded on the basis of the Oxford Study last week.
He said Imperial College’s study looked at 11 European nations, including France, Germany, Italy, UK and Spain, and that in there opinion, somewhere between 1.8% and 11.43% of the inhabitants of those nations have been or are now infected. They said that Italy and Spain have been hit particularly hard.
Even using the lowest number of 1.8%, Italy with a population of 60,000,000 would have 1,128,000 people currently or previously infected. The current positive test case count is 115,000.
I think it was in the same Imperial study where they said they think the overall mortality rate will be 0.66%, which, if you look at Italy’s 13,915 deaths, would put them at about 2,100,000 total infections, which would square with them being hit harder than the other countries and would put them at about 3.5% infected rate of total population.
I’m back to work, on the road up in Wisconsin tonight, so if this has been addressed in thread, I missed it but did want to hear the groups thoughts on it.
Even the lowest number of 1.8% would be fantastic news. We’d still have the problem of lots of people getting sick, lots of people dying and our hospitals being overwhelmed. However, each of our individual chances of getting very sick would be greatly reduced.
I am agnostic on it at this point.
The testing is so far behind everywhere that it is hard to figure out what is really happening out there.