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To: thinden

And I tried tonight to match the last few days' data with a further reduced exponential function, or modified exponential (with coefficient reducing a fixed amount daily for the Numbers FReeQs).

This effort was unsuccessful. Although there has been a little growth in the DAILY number of new cases since 3/27 (conceivably related to expanded testing), it is no longer exponential. This is good.

There were 1,040 deaths today, as opposed to 1,101 yesterday. I had hoped yesterday was more of an anomaly and that increased testing would expose more mild cases thereby lowering the death percentage. (I AM STILL HOPING this will turn out to be the case.)

United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

Date    	Daily	Total	Reduced
        	Growth	Cases	Exponential 
        	Actual	Actual	Model
3/14/2020		 2,717 	
3/15/2020	 761 	 3,478 	
3/16/2020	 1,167 	 4,645 	
3/17/2020	 1,717 	 6,362 	
3/18/2020	 1,407 	 7,769 	
3/19/2020	 5,911 	 13,680 	
3/20/2020	 5,605 	 19,285 	
3/21/2020	 7,462 	 26,747 	
3/22/2020	 8,478 	 35,225  35,225 
3/23/2020	 11,107  46,332  44,031 
3/24/2020	 8,816 	 55,148  55,039 
3/25/2020	 13,870  69,018  68,799 
3/26/2020	 16,635  85,653  85,999 
3/27/2020	 19,363 105,016 107,498 
3/28/2020	 19,448 124,464 134,373 
3/29/2020	 17,892 142,356 167,966 
3/30/2020	 22,003 164,359 209,957 
3/31/2020	 25,151 189,510 262,447 
4/1/2020	 27,005 216,515 328,058 
4/2/2020		 . 	410,073 
4/3/2020		 . 	512,591 
4/4/2020		 . 	640,739 
4/5/2020		 . 	800,924 
4/6/2020		 . 	1,001,155 
4/7/2020		.	1,251,443 
4/8/2020		.	1,564,304 
4/9/2020		.	1,955,380 
4/10/2020		.	2,444,225 
4/11/2020		.	3,055,282 
4/12/2020		.	3,819,102 
NOTE: "Recovered" Cases--which I guess means released from medical treatment--increased by 1,696 today. That number is also growing. When the DAILY sum of recovered cases and deaths exceeds the DAILY NEW CASES, we will really be on the downslope side of this thing.
415 posted on 04/01/2020 10:11:55 PM PDT by Disestablishmentarian (the right of the people peaceably to assemble)
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To: Tobias Grimsley; WildHighlander57; bitt; thinden; little jeremiah; fedupjohn; Trump Girl Kit Cat; ..

Ping to #415 Kung Flu nightly Table

Dang! Will I ever get the hang of this? More amazed than ever at what MoD is doing for us and what Oracle did for so long during the most heated days of Q!


418 posted on 04/01/2020 10:17:33 PM PDT by Disestablishmentarian (the right of the people peaceably to assemble)
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To: Disestablishmentarian
Essentially any statistical analysis on SARS-CoV-2 is renders useless given all data is filtered through China's CDC (CCDC)

The USA CDC gets their information from WHO. WHO uses source for the SARS-CoV-2 through a block chain called MiPasa.

Which John Hopkins University which most of our data is coming from filters all their statistics though the China CDC (CCDC) using a blockchain called MiPasa.
John Hopkins states China is in this block chain
https://systems.jhu.edu/research/public-health/ncov/

Those working on the system MiPasa are, "Abhimanyu Shekhawat, Ahmad Sghaier, Alevtina Bubovitskaya, Alon Sivan, Gari Sighn, Jonathan Levi, Manank Patni, Maya Kolsky, Moti Krispil"

This is the same Moti Krispil lives in Israel
https://www.facebook.com/inspire4life

A person named Moti Krispil from Nazareth Israel (same guy?) 2015 murdered a man because his ATV was making to much noise and was asked to be quite and not wake a kid.

A person named Moti Krispil from Nazareth Israel (same guy?) 2015 murder http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/205077

mipasa
https://unbounded.network/consortiums/mipasa
World Health Organization Teams With IBM, Oracle on Blockchain-Based Coronavirus Data Hub (About MiPasa)
https://www.coindesk.com/world-health-organization-teams-with-ibm-oracle-on-blockchain-based-coronavirus-data-hub

875 posted on 04/03/2020 1:33:05 AM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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