Italy is at 13k deaths. and just starting to taper off, so safe to assume they will be at 25k minimum. We are over 5x as big as Italy, so it won’t be hard to get to 100k deaths here. We have more ICU beds, more money, fewer elderly, which could lower it. We have more overweight diabetics, so that will make it worse.
Yup. If we are tracking Italy we’re on course to wind up in the low six-figures. No way to look at Italian numbers and view 2.2 million as anything but B.S.
Not that losing 100K lives isn’t tragic.
That could vary greatly though depending on how the experimental drug therapies work out.
Italy has the second oldest population in the world, invited 300,000 Chinese workers into the country and was totally unprepared for the pandemic. And, it isn’t getting anywhere near 100,000 deaths.
This virus is more contagious but it is not more deadly than the the once-in-a-decade flu. And, unlike Italy, we have and are increasing hospital and ventilator capacity before our hospitals are flooded.