You don't really understand statistical analysis and empirical data, do you? You can't rely upon any "chart" that takes all state's data and gives an average.
This is a chart that breaks it down state by state.
In that chart, it averages New York with, for example, Alaska. New York has ~80,000 active cases with ~2,000 deaths. Alaska has 130 cases with 3 deaths.
You want to take that average and then tell Alaska that's what they can expect? You want to take that chart and contend it's representative of the USA in general?
When the crisis first hit, the New York dweeb in charge of the health department told New Yorkers to ignore the "hype" and get out and enjoy the city. Specifically, he told everybody to head to Chinatown to celebrate the Lunatic New Year parade and party.
The subways are still packed. It's like they have a death wish, and it's not representative of the USA at large. But that's the picture your charts portray.
Please look at the 3rd chart, New York is broken out separately and analyzed separately. Thanks.