California will see peak of COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths in less than 4 weeks, forecast finds
https://ktla.com/news/california/california-will-see-peak-of-covid-19-hospitalizations-and-deaths-in-less-than-4-weeks-forecast-finds/
by: Melissa Pamer, Mary Beth McDade
Posted: Mar 30, 2020 / 02:40 PM PDT / Updated: Mar 30, 2020 / 11:03 PM PDT
From that article: “At the predicted April 26 peak, California will have enough ICU beds to meet peak demand for COVID-19 patients, with 1,564 intensive care beds needed out of 1,993 available, the forecast stated.
A worst-case projection, however, shows the state falling far short of a possible 3,417 ICU beds needed.
The total number of hospital beds needed for COVID-19 patients in California is expected to peak at 10,468, with 26,654 available, according to the forecast. The worst-case projection is for 21,874 hospital beds needed, still within the available range.”
This means the CA economy will be shut down longest...first in, last out.
“26,753 ventilators at peak “
Didn’t the Feds say we have 16,000 in reserve, and 50K coming from GM? on top of whatever number there is now? And there’s the silicon valley volunteers who are rebuilding broken ventilators, several ten thousand?
“. Based on the most recent publicly available data (from 2010), 1 study estimated that US acute care hospitals own approximately 62,000 full-featured mechanical ventilators.1 Calculations suggest that about 28,883 of these ventilators (46.4%) can be used to ventilate pediatric and neonatal patients. The study also reported an additional 98,000 ventilators that are not full-featured but can still provide basic function in an emergency during crisis standards of care.1 “
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/resources/COVID-19/200214-VentilatorAvailability-factsheet.pdf