I think that 1. normalcy bias, plus 2. wishful thinking, plus 3. a real lack of understanding of exponential growth explains the lack of comprehension here.
As far as the virus is concerned, the only significant differences between Wuhan, Teheran, Milan, Madrid, New York and your state capital are 1. the starting point date based on first seeding and the number of initial super spreaders in that region, and 2. how early social distancing began, in order to pull the RO number down.
In a month, all the flubros will get it.
Comparing Flu and COVID-19 deaths.
by Ronan Kelly, FluTrackers
For the past several years, I have been plotting and comparing week to week influenza mortality data gathered by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance system. The number of coded flu deaths per year is only a part of the estimated flu deaths each week. I added US coronavirus deaths by week to the plot and got this.
I know it's not apples to apples, the estimated number of flu deaths is about 6 times higher than the numbers recorded by the NCHS, but there is every reason to believe that the actual number of coronavirus fatalities is also larger than the subset that gets confirmed. There has only been 4 weeks of data. Where is this going to end up? https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/united-states-2019-ncov/842586-comparing-flu-and-covid-19-deaths#post842586