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Growth of U.S. Cases is DECELERATING because the Daily new cases has flattened out--signifying END OF EXPONENTIAL GROWTH.

Think about it this way: If there are a lot more cases each day, then there are a lot more infectious people. This is why NEW CASES were growing each day by larger and larger numbers.

THIS IS NO LONGER OCCURRING.

In the news conference today, the most optimistic analysis was offered by Dr. Birx, who said the "Best case" might be 81,000 deaths by the time this is over.

I DO NOT SEE THIS HAPPENING. Based upon my tracking of the new cases, it is hard to see there being more than 40,000 deaths for the entire 2020 coronavirus cycle.

NOTE that the peak of deaths in one day was 492, occurring both March 27 & March 28. This number has also flattened out, however, with only 302 deaths today. So even if this keeps up for another month (which is doubtful, that would be less than 15K deaths in April, which will be the peak month for COVID-19 deaths in the U.S.

I am now starting to track recoveries from the illness. Currently the number stands at 4,757.

United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases

Date    	Daily	Total	Reduced
        	Growth	Cases	Exponential 
        	Actual	Actual	Model
3/14/2020		 2,717 	
3/15/2020	 761 	 3,478 	
3/16/2020	 1,167 	 4,645 	
3/17/2020	 1,717 	 6,362 	
3/18/2020	 1,407 	 7,769 	
3/19/2020	 5,911 	 13,680 	
3/20/2020	 5,605 	 19,285 	
3/21/2020	 7,462 	 26,747 	
3/22/2020	 8,478 	 35,225  35,225 
3/23/2020	 11,107  46,332  44,031 
3/24/2020	 8,816 	 55,148  55,039 
3/25/2020	 13,870  69,018  68,799 
3/26/2020	 16,635  85,653  85,999 
3/27/2020	 19,363 105,016 107,498 
3/28/2020	 19,448 124,464 134,373 
3/29/2020	 17,892 142,356 167,966 
3/30/2020		 . 	209,957 
3/31/2020		 . 	262,447 
4/1/2020		 . 	328,058 
4/2/2020		 . 	410,073 
4/3/2020		 . 	512,591 
4/4/2020		 . 	640,739 
4/5/2020		 . 	800,924 
4/6/2020		 .      1,001,155