[Disestablishmentarian]

HEADLINE: Not a Good Day ... New Cases and Deaths Set new Highs

Deaths today were 1,101, breaking the 500 daily ceiling that had held up until now.

This death number for today is an anomaly, because it exceeds by a factor of 2 the average daily death toll as a percentage of total confirmed cases. I expect it to be back closer to the norm (i.e., 500-600) tomorrow. We shall see.

United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases		

Date    	Daily	Total	Reduced
        	Growth	Cases	Exponential 
        	Actual	Actual	Model
3/14/2020		 2,717 	
3/15/2020	 761 	 3,478 	
3/16/2020	 1,167 	 4,645 	
3/17/2020	 1,717 	 6,362 	
3/18/2020	 1,407 	 7,769 	
3/19/2020	 5,911 	 13,680 	
3/20/2020	 5,605 	 19,285 	
3/21/2020	 7,462 	 26,747 	
3/22/2020	 8,478 	 35,225  35,225 
3/23/2020	 11,107  46,332  44,031 
3/24/2020	 8,816 	 55,148  55,039 
3/25/2020	 13,870  69,018  68,799 
3/26/2020	 16,635  85,653  85,999 
3/27/2020	 19,363 105,016 107,498 
3/28/2020	 19,448 124,464 134,373 
3/29/2020	 17,892 142,356 167,966 
3/30/2020	 22,003 164,359 209,957 
3/31/2020	 25,151 189,510 262,447 
4/1/2020		 . 	328,058 
4/2/2020		 . 	410,073 
4/3/2020		 . 	512,591 
4/4/2020		 . 	640,739 
4/5/2020		 . 	800,924 
4/6/2020		 .      1,001,155 
4/7/2020		.	1,251,443 
4/8/2020		.	1,564,304 
4/9/2020		.	1,955,380 
4/10/2020		.	2,444,225 

TOTAL U.S. deaths so far: 4,079

[thinden]

Total actual cases are decreasing at an increasing rate vs model.

Looks like all good thing??

[Tobias Grimsley]

yep, hate to see this...I was definitely wrong about seeing a good trend...wishful thinking I guess