Replies

To: WildHighlander57

The “models” are HIGHLY questionable....

Counting Navy and Grad School, I've been working with models/simulations for almost a half century.

At very, very best models are computer-aided WAG very strongly weighted towards worst-case scenario.

If the programming and/or data are biased in any way, they're worse than useless. (Global Warming is a current proof of this premise.)

1,153 posted on 03/31/2020 3:35:25 PM PDT by Unrepentant VN Vet (Never quit anything in my life, ain't going to start quitting now. WWG1WGA)

To: Unrepentant VN Vet

If the programming and/or data are biased in any way, they're worse than useless. (Global Warming is a current proof of this premise.)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

That's an understatement, Vet.

And the "Bias" does not even have to be deliberate.

1,159 posted on 03/31/2020 3:41:29 PM PDT by Disestablishmentarian (the right of the people peaceably to assemble)

To: Unrepentant VN Vet

I agree about your estimation of the models, the quote I put in my post said as much.

1,215 posted on 03/31/2020 5:07:25 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794