Caixin - a reputable Chinese website - is estimating the death toll in Wuhan, based on number of urns Funeral urn ordered by mortuaries, at 40,000. Nearly 20x official figures
https://twitter.com/DoubleEph/status/1243835932106723328?s=20
Chris from peak progress estimated they were 1 to 2 factors off. Your posted estimate is in that ballpark. On the low side. Lol.