Every hotspot has ‘its own curve’: How coronavirus cases are growing around the United States
The seeds came in at different times’
...In CNN’s analysis, the 15-day period starting at the beginning of March saw large daily increases in states such as Washington, California and New York.
But Florida, Georgia, Louisiana and Tennessee only began to see sharply rising numbers in the second half of March. It remains unclear whether those dates reflect the beginnings of actual outbreaks, or stepped-up testing that revealed those outbreaks.
Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator, acknowledged these varying timelines in a press briefing Monday.
“Each state and each hotspot in the United States is going to be its own curve, because the seeds came in at different times,” said Birx.
“So, Washington state is on their curve they’re about two weeks ahead of New York,” she added.
where’s the guy with the cellphone tracking program? where did the mid-March travel into the Southern States come from?
We are going to need good metrics to determine the best procedures to save lives and the economy. One such metric would be a bias function that allows different cities to properly compare infection rates with their testing rates normalized.