[cgbg]

"New York Department of Health" (not sure if Dr is referring to city or state) said no more Covid-19 tests for anyone unless they are admitted to hospital.

There are long lines outside of Elmhurst (hospital in Queens) waiting to be tested--and presumably some of those folks are not going to be admitted.

https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/at-nyc-hospital-where-13-died-virus-testing-line-stretches-down-the-block-by-sunrise/2344949/

It may be some officials want the testing to stop, but it is still happening on the ground.

In Westchester, of course, there is drive in testing in New Rochelle as six other sites around the state.

https://www.businessinsider.com/new-york-more-coronavirus-testing-than-the-cdc-any-state-2020-3

[cgbg]

Take a look at the “case” curves and the “death” curves at the Worldometer site:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

They look almost identical.

So much for the case data not meaning anything...despite its obvious flaws it turns out to be a proxy for the death rate...it predicts/shows the trend.

More importantly, it is a fair proxy for actual infections. It is probably off by a consistent factor, but since the known death rate is in the 1-2% rate with good care and higher with an overwhelmed health care system it is clear that it is not off by _that_ much, perhaps a factor of two or three at most.

That shows the lie of the “lots of people have mild cases and are now immune” FluBro meme that has infested parts of academe as well as the political world.

The numbers say that this drama is still just beginning—in the US substantially less than 1% would test positive even if everyone were tested.

If folks don’t like the real world, that is not the fault of the real world.