Vermont has hit the exponential phase.
Wyoming has hit the exponential phase.
Idaho has hit the exponential phase.
(insert state here) has hit the exponential phase.
Look at the numbers, man.
This is not _that_ hard.
As a nation we are in the recovery phase. The umpteen epidemics urban centers have will progress “like an epidemic”. I haven’t seen a chart for individual # new deaths but an approximation can be had by doing this. Look at # new deaths. If it is less than about 1/4 of total deaths (for that state, county, whatever) they probably aren’t in the exponential phase. The numbers I saw that wasn’t rue for those states. If new deaths is over 1/4 of total deaths, yes they are in it.