How lucky are we if we just miss impact? (Actually, the economic/social effect was a direct hit.) It's like those educational movies "Scared Straight". We literally experienced how one potential future could unfold. Now we have a fire lit under our collective ass. "Never again", right?
Hey, on that note, I'm tentatively calling it. I'm not one to make bold claims; I'm actually pretty chickenshit, hiding behind lots of qualifiers. But Italy just reported their 35th day from the first CV fatality (as of 3/26), and the pattern is starting to look really flat. To get the line moving upward again at this point would take monster numbers. Not saying it couldn't happen, but it's beginning to look highly unlikely.
CV Mortality
Italy vs US (net NY)
Italy 35 days actual
US 26 days actual, 27-35 projected
