It will be interesting to see what the final numbers are. A LOT depends on the denominator. (US numbers)Bring Out Your DeadCompleted cases (dead+recovered) = 62.8% dead
Lancet (dead 14 days ago+recovered)= 7.05% dead
Total cases = 1.5% dead
Population = 0.000317% dead
Entire known universe population = 0.0000136% deadThe Lancet algorithm is probably the most accurate, it better accounts for the shorter time to die than recover.
Don't be too alarmed by the 7.05%, it is a small data set, the world rate has been around 4% since Late February.
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
The false positive rate was 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's or one old fart’s life, it's worth it.